Winter Swordfest Tournament FORECAST for 11/18/06

Uncle Buck · 11-15-2006, 11:43 AM

50-line forecast for the Lighthouse Point area.

As of Friday, November 17th, 10:00am
The wave height has dropped by 6 inches! But that ain't nearly enough. Even though the forecast if for solid 4's, that 4-second wave period and North wind will probably stack 'em up over 6ft. Not pretty. NOAA is still calling for 6-8ft in the stream Saturday too. Unfortunately, there is no indication of a calming sea anywhere near the tournament night.

This graph was derived from http://www.BuoyWeather.com

Disclaimer: I AM NOT A WEATHERMAN! I only make predictions by what I observe on the graph. Use your own judgement, and check several weather sources. Be safe out there!

Sword Hunter · 11-15-2006, 06:38 PM

oh I can tell u for shure its going to be more than 3-4' with a few days of north its going to be nasty better bring the ginger

FinalPoint · 11-15-2006, 07:21 PM

UB - when the weekend roles around can you post one of those for the upcoming week. I am home on Tuesday night and will be home through Sunday afternoon - would love to get a couple slobs and some sails.

hannaman · 11-16-2006, 09:13 AM

I fished that last week and it was a nice 4-6 swell. If there isn't any gusts over 20 she will be fishable.

rafter · 11-16-2006, 09:40 AM

Well, noaa has 6 to 8 in the gulf steam.

DIRTYFOOT2 · 11-16-2006, 09:51 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sword Hunter

oh I can tell u for shure its going to be more than 3-4' with a few days of north its going to be nasty better bring the ginger

Hunter,
Sounds like you saw some rough water recently :lol:
Were gonna give it a try again tonight w/ my new noodles.
Thanks for your input.
Later,
Butch

Uncle Buck · 11-16-2006, 10:13 AM

Don't let the 3-5ft fool ya. Add the 5-second period and 15+ North winds, and the seas will feel a lot worse.

Warrior · 11-16-2006, 12:46 PM

4' 4 SECONDS = 6' WAVE FACE

Flatsfish B · 11-16-2006, 01:43 PM

SATURDAY NIGHT
NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS. SEAS 2 FEET OR LESS
NEAR SHORE AND UP TO 6 TO 8 FEET IN THE GULF STREAM. INTRACOASTAL
WATERS A light CHOP.

Verado06 · 11-16-2006, 03:01 PM

In my experience, these conditions are doable. Mostly a north sweel with some chop. We can hang if the tournament goes on.

I believe there is a front coming the following week and it is Turkey weekend too...

Poledancer · 11-16-2006, 03:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Verado06

In my experience, these conditions are doable.

Maybe for you guys fishing 30 footers. Dont forget about us poor people. :???:

Uncle Buck · 11-16-2006, 10:06 PM

Like Drew said tonight, "this is supposed to be a fun event". Running the tournament in rough conditions does 2 things: 1. makes the fishing uncomfortable and dangerous, and 2. culls-out the smaller boats which means less competition and less prize money. I'd rather wait a week or two for good weather.

Fishalways · 11-17-2006, 07:08 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Uncle Buck

Like Drew said tonight, "this is supposed to be a fun event". Running the tournament in rough conditions does 2 things: 1. makes the fishing uncomfortable and dangerous, and 2. culls-out the smaller boats which means less competition and less prize money. I'd rather wait a week or two for good weather.

I have to agree with you on this Buck. In addition, with the extra week I might fish it! :lol:

There are definately alot of guys on here that would love to fish the tournaments, myself included, but just can't get with the bigger boats.

It's not fun in 4-6 in a 20' CC. ](*,)

quack quack · 11-17-2006, 08:23 AM

11am Partly Cloudy
71°F
71°F 0% 53°F 53% From NNW 9 mph

12pm Mostly Sunny
72°F
72°F 0% 52°F 49% From NW 10 mph

1pm Mostly Sunny
73°F
73°F 0% 52°F 48% From NW 11 mph

2pm Mostly Sunny
73°F
73°F 0% 52°F 48% From NNW 10 mph

3pm Sunny
73°F
73°F 0% 51°F 46% From NNW 10 mph

Evening Commute See Pollen Hot Spots

4pm Sunny
72°F
72°F 0% 51°F 47% From NNW 10 mph

5pm Sunny
70°F
70°F 0% 50°F 49% From NNW 9 mph

Sunset 5:29 pm Check Local Pollen Forecast

6pm Clear
68°F
68°F 0% 50°F 52% From NNW 8 mph

7pm Clear
66°F
66°F 0% 49°F 54% From NW 7 mph

8pm Clear
65°F
65°F 0% 49°F 56% From NW 6 mph

9pm Clear
64°F
64°F 0% 49°F 58% From NNW 6 mph

< Previous

This is from weather channel on Sat :shock:

e-money · 11-17-2006, 08:31 AM

Any updates on whether tourney is a GO?

quack quack · 11-17-2006, 08:41 AM

No call till Sat

Uncle Buck · 11-17-2006, 09:16 AM

Update forecast posted... but still not good. :cry:

catching · 11-17-2006, 09:26 AM

That is why I am headed out tonight

might be over a week before I can get out again.

quack quack · 11-17-2006, 09:56 AM

THIS AFTERNOON
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS. NEAR SHORE...SEAS
2 FEET OR LESS. IN THE GULF STREAM...SEAS 4 TO 6 FEET SUBSIDING
TO 2 TO 4 FEET IN THE AFTERNOON. INTRACOASTAL WATERS A light CHOP.

TONIGHT
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS. SEAS 2 FEET OR LESS NEAR
SHORE AND UP TO 4 TO 6 FEET IN THE GULF STREAM. INTRACOASTAL
WATERS A light CHOP.

SATURDAY
NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS. SEAS 2 FEET OR LESS NEAR
SHORE AND UP TO 6 TO 8 FEET IN THE GULF STREAM. INTRACOASTAL
WATERS A LIGHT CHOP.

SATURDAY NIGHT
NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS. SEAS 2 FEET OR LESS
NEAR SHORE AND UP TO 6 TO 8 FEET IN THE GULF STREAM. INTRACOASTAL
WATERS A LIGHT CHOP.

looking better all the time

-shimano- · 11-17-2006, 10:45 AM

looks like with this high pressure system might lay her down at night , but u never kno

quack quack · 11-17-2006, 10:51 AM

:stup

-shimano- · 11-17-2006, 11:25 AM

I seem so sence the sarcasm in that but im just hoopinbg for the best for us small boat anglers ....

quack quack · 11-17-2006, 11:31 AM

No sarcasm just agreeing with you

My motto is that it is never to calm to scare me.

-shimano- · 11-17-2006, 11:33 AM

yea i hear that

Fishalways · 11-17-2006, 11:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by quack quack

No sarcasm just agreeing with you

My motto is that it is never to calm to scare me.

Too bad all boaters don't have that same attitude. Would probably be alot less accidents.

Momentum · 11-17-2006, 11:46 AM

NOAA is already wrong. It's 1 PM and the wind is only blowing out of the NNW at 8 mph. They have it at 10-15 KNOTS out of the north....

Now look at their forecasts for Saturday and they call N 10-13 knots on Saturday night and it's still calm right now ....I don't think there's enough time to build it up let alone it be 6-8 in the stream.

My prediction is that it will be 3-4 and we will end up fishing Saturday night. But then again, anybody's prediction is as good as NOAA's. The facts prove that they are already wrong.

Uncle Buck · 11-17-2006, 11:47 AM

Remember... land-based anemometers can have drastically different readings as compared to offshore windspeed and direction.

Looks like I'm taking my boat out tonight. All the way to 200ft.

Maybe I'll make a run out a few miles to see if things are building.

Momentum · 11-17-2006, 03:40 PM

I'm trying to be as confident as possible. My guess that the tourney will be on still stands.

Verado06 · 11-17-2006, 03:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hannaman

I fished that last week and it was a nice 4-6 swell. If there isn't any gusts over 20 she will be fishable.

I'm with hannaman.. i think these seas are fishable. I doubt it will be any better the following week, but forecasting the weather correctly we need to send Austin Powers into the future!!

Uncle Buck · 11-17-2006, 04:01 PM

Can we find someone willing to live out on the 50-line and post real-time conditions?

11-15-2006, 11:43 AM	#1 (permalink)
Uncle Buck Grander Join Date: Jan 2006 Location: Mouth of the Rat Boat: Sailfish 218CC Best Catch: First fish ever = 3ft sand tiger on kite string Occupation: Graphic Designer Posts: 3,309	Winter Swordfest Tournament FORECAST for 11/18/06 50-line forecast for the Lighthouse Point area. As of Friday, November 17th, 10:00am The wave height has dropped by 6 inches! But that ain't nearly enough. Even though the forecast if for solid 4's, that 4-second wave period and North wind will probably stack 'em up over 6ft. Not pretty. NOAA is still calling for 6-8ft in the stream Saturday too. Unfortunately, there is no indication of a calming sea anywhere near the tournament night. This graph was derived from http://www.BuoyWeather.com Disclaimer: I AM NOT A WEATHERMAN! I only make predictions by what I observe on the graph. Use your own judgement, and check several weather sources. Be safe out there!

11-15-2006, 06:38 PM	#2 (permalink)
Sword Hunter Hooked Up Join Date: Dec 2005 Location: Boca Raton Posts: 276	I think th oh I can tell u for shure its going to be more than 3-4' with a few days of north its going to be nasty better bring the ginger

11-16-2006, 09:40 AM	#5 (permalink)
rafter Lines In Join Date: Jan 2006 Posts: 48	Well, noaa has 6 to 8 in the gulf steam. __________________ The best vitamin for making friends is, B1.

11-16-2006, 01:43 PM	#9 (permalink)
Flatsfish B Hooked Up Join Date: Sep 2005 Location: Boca Boat: 2300 Keywest Best Catch: 77'' pumpkin Occupation: Sales supervisor Posts: 682	SATURDAY NIGHT NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS. SEAS 2 FEET OR LESS NEAR SHORE AND UP TO 6 TO 8 FEET IN THE GULF STREAM. INTRACOASTAL WATERS A light CHOP. __________________

11-17-2006, 08:23 AM	#14 (permalink)
quack quack Old Salt Join Date: Nov 2005 Location: lake worth Best Catch: 25lb codfish 5 yrs old first hanger Posts: 6,408	11am Partly Cloudy 71°F 71°F 0% 53°F 53% From NNW 9 mph 12pm Mostly Sunny 72°F 72°F 0% 52°F 49% From NW 10 mph 1pm Mostly Sunny 73°F 73°F 0% 52°F 48% From NW 11 mph 2pm Mostly Sunny 73°F 73°F 0% 52°F 48% From NNW 10 mph 3pm Sunny 73°F 73°F 0% 51°F 46% From NNW 10 mph Evening Commute See Pollen Hot Spots 4pm Sunny 72°F 72°F 0% 51°F 47% From NNW 10 mph 5pm Sunny 70°F 70°F 0% 50°F 49% From NNW 9 mph Sunset 5:29 pm Check Local Pollen Forecast 6pm Clear 68°F 68°F 0% 50°F 52% From NNW 8 mph 7pm Clear 66°F 66°F 0% 49°F 54% From NW 7 mph 8pm Clear 65°F 65°F 0% 49°F 56% From NW 6 mph 9pm Clear 64°F 64°F 0% 49°F 58% From NNW 6 mph < Previous This is from weather channel on Sat :shock: __________________ Amagansett means “place of good water” in one American Indian tongue, and for generations of Lesters who have lived here, it’s been true in the most literal way.

11-15-2006, 07:21 PM	#3 (permalink)
FinalPoint Grander Join Date: May 2004 Location: Lighthouse Pt., FL; Greenwich, CT Boat: Contender 36 Fisharound Best Catch: 1183 lb. Swordfish Occupation: Real Estate Investment Posts: 1,055	UB - when the weekend roles around can you post one of those for the upcoming week. I am home on Tuesday night and will be home through Sunday afternoon - would love to get a couple slobs and some sails.

11-16-2006, 09:13 AM	#4 (permalink)
hannaman Charter Captain Join Date: May 2004 Location: Ft. Lauderdale, Florida Boat: 32 Donzi w/ twins Best Catch: 300+ pound Swordfish club, still. Occupation: Landscape contractor Posts: 675	I fished that last week and it was a nice 4-6 swell. If there isn't any gusts over 20 she will be fishable.

11-16-2006, 10:13 AM	#7 (permalink)
Uncle Buck Grander Join Date: Jan 2006 Location: Mouth of the Rat Boat: Sailfish 218CC Best Catch: First fish ever = 3ft sand tiger on kite string Occupation: Graphic Designer Posts: 3,309	Don't let the 3-5ft fool ya. Add the 5-second period and 15+ North winds, and the seas will feel a lot worse.

11-16-2006, 12:46 PM	#8 (permalink)
Warrior Hooked Up Join Date: Sep 2005 Location: Ft.Pierce Boat: 60 Ocean SS/31 Contender Best Catch: 369# core Giant Bluefin Posts: 321	4' 4 SECONDS = 6' WAVE FACE

11-16-2006, 03:01 PM	#10 (permalink)
Verado06 Hooked Up Join Date: Aug 2005 Location: Miami and New Orleans Posts: 500	In my experience, these conditions are doable. Mostly a north sweel with some chop. We can hang if the tournament goes on. I believe there is a front coming the following week and it is Turkey weekend too...

11-16-2006, 10:06 PM	#12 (permalink)
Uncle Buck Grander Join Date: Jan 2006 Location: Mouth of the Rat Boat: Sailfish 218CC Best Catch: First fish ever = 3ft sand tiger on kite string Occupation: Graphic Designer Posts: 3,309	Like Drew said tonight, "this is supposed to be a fun event". Running the tournament in rough conditions does 2 things: 1. makes the fishing uncomfortable and dangerous, and 2. culls-out the smaller boats which means less competition and less prize money. I'd rather wait a week or two for good weather.

11-17-2006, 08:31 AM	#15 (permalink)
e-money Hooked Up Join Date: Aug 2006 Location: Palm Beach Boat: Swordfish / wahoo/ muttons Occupation: Sales Posts: 437	Any updates on whether tourney is a GO? __________________ Swordfish Guide on your vessel for Palm Beach County Darkside trips ! eric@transparent-technology.com

11-17-2006, 08:41 AM	#16 (permalink)
quack quack Old Salt Join Date: Nov 2005 Location: lake worth Best Catch: 25lb codfish 5 yrs old first hanger Posts: 6,408	No call till Sat __________________ Amagansett means “place of good water” in one American Indian tongue, and for generations of Lesters who have lived here, it’s been true in the most literal way.

11-17-2006, 09:16 AM	#17 (permalink)
Uncle Buck Grander Join Date: Jan 2006 Location: Mouth of the Rat Boat: Sailfish 218CC Best Catch: First fish ever = 3ft sand tiger on kite string Occupation: Graphic Designer Posts: 3,309	Update forecast posted... but still not good. :cry:

11-17-2006, 09:26 AM	#18 (permalink)
catching Grander Join Date: Feb 2006 Best Catch: Swordfish 362 pounds Posts: 1,666	That is why I am headed out tonight might be over a week before I can get out again.

11-17-2006, 09:56 AM	#19 (permalink)
quack quack Old Salt Join Date: Nov 2005 Location: lake worth Best Catch: 25lb codfish 5 yrs old first hanger Posts: 6,408	THIS AFTERNOON NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS. NEAR SHORE...SEAS 2 FEET OR LESS. IN THE GULF STREAM...SEAS 4 TO 6 FEET SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FEET IN THE AFTERNOON. INTRACOASTAL WATERS A light CHOP. TONIGHT NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS. SEAS 2 FEET OR LESS NEAR SHORE AND UP TO 4 TO 6 FEET IN THE GULF STREAM. INTRACOASTAL WATERS A light CHOP. SATURDAY NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS. SEAS 2 FEET OR LESS NEAR SHORE AND UP TO 6 TO 8 FEET IN THE GULF STREAM. INTRACOASTAL WATERS A LIGHT CHOP. SATURDAY NIGHT NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS. SEAS 2 FEET OR LESS NEAR SHORE AND UP TO 6 TO 8 FEET IN THE GULF STREAM. INTRACOASTAL WATERS A LIGHT CHOP. looking better all the time __________________ Amagansett means “place of good water” in one American Indian tongue, and for generations of Lesters who have lived here, it’s been true in the most literal way.

11-17-2006, 10:45 AM	#20 (permalink)
-shimano- Lines In Join Date: Mar 2006 Location: FT.lauderdale Occupation: Charter fishing Posts: 36	looks like with this high pressure system might lay her down at night , but u never kno

11-17-2006, 10:51 AM	#21 (permalink)
quack quack Old Salt Join Date: Nov 2005 Location: lake worth Best Catch: 25lb codfish 5 yrs old first hanger Posts: 6,408	:stup __________________ Amagansett means “place of good water” in one American Indian tongue, and for generations of Lesters who have lived here, it’s been true in the most literal way.

11-17-2006, 11:25 AM	#22 (permalink)
-shimano- Lines In Join Date: Mar 2006 Location: FT.lauderdale Occupation: Charter fishing Posts: 36	I seem so sence the sarcasm in that but im just hoopinbg for the best for us small boat anglers ....

11-17-2006, 11:31 AM	#23 (permalink)
quack quack Old Salt Join Date: Nov 2005 Location: lake worth Best Catch: 25lb codfish 5 yrs old first hanger Posts: 6,408	No sarcasm just agreeing with you My motto is that it is never to calm to scare me. __________________ Amagansett means “place of good water” in one American Indian tongue, and for generations of Lesters who have lived here, it’s been true in the most literal way.

11-17-2006, 11:33 AM	#24 (permalink)
-shimano- Lines In Join Date: Mar 2006 Location: FT.lauderdale Occupation: Charter fishing Posts: 36	yea i hear that

11-17-2006, 11:46 AM	#26 (permalink)
Momentum Hooked Up Join Date: Jan 2006 Posts: 330	NOAA is already wrong. It's 1 PM and the wind is only blowing out of the NNW at 8 mph. They have it at 10-15 KNOTS out of the north.... Now look at their forecasts for Saturday and they call N 10-13 knots on Saturday night and it's still calm right now ....I don't think there's enough time to build it up let alone it be 6-8 in the stream. My prediction is that it will be 3-4 and we will end up fishing Saturday night. But then again, anybody's prediction is as good as NOAA's. The facts prove that they are already wrong.

11-17-2006, 11:47 AM	#27 (permalink)
Uncle Buck Grander Join Date: Jan 2006 Location: Mouth of the Rat Boat: Sailfish 218CC Best Catch: First fish ever = 3ft sand tiger on kite string Occupation: Graphic Designer Posts: 3,309	Remember... land-based anemometers can have drastically different readings as compared to offshore windspeed and direction. Looks like I'm taking my boat out tonight. All the way to 200ft. Maybe I'll make a run out a few miles to see if things are building.

11-17-2006, 03:40 PM	#28 (permalink)
Momentum Hooked Up Join Date: Jan 2006 Posts: 330	I'm trying to be as confident as possible. My guess that the tourney will be on still stands.

11-17-2006, 04:01 PM	#30 (permalink)
Uncle Buck Grander Join Date: Jan 2006 Location: Mouth of the Rat Boat: Sailfish 218CC Best Catch: First fish ever = 3ft sand tiger on kite string Occupation: Graphic Designer Posts: 3,309	Can we find someone willing to live out on the 50-line and post real-time conditions?

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