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Old 11-15-2006, 12:43 PM   #1 (permalink)
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Default Winter Swordfest Tournament FORECAST for 11/18/06

50-line forecast for the Lighthouse Point area.

As of Friday, November 17th, 10:00am
The wave height has dropped by 6 inches! But that ain't nearly enough. Even though the forecast if for solid 4's, that 4-second wave period and North wind will probably stack 'em up over 6ft. Not pretty. NOAA is still calling for 6-8ft in the stream Saturday too. Unfortunately, there is no indication of a calming sea anywhere near the tournament night.



This graph was derived from http://www.BuoyWeather.com

Disclaimer: I AM NOT A WEATHERMAN! I only make predictions by what I observe on the graph. Use your own judgement, and check several weather sources. Be safe out there!
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Old 11-15-2006, 07:38 PM   #2 (permalink)
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Default I think th

oh I can tell u for shure its going to be more than 3-4' with a few days of north its going to be nasty better bring the ginger
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Old 11-15-2006, 08:21 PM   #3 (permalink)
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UB - when the weekend roles around can you post one of those for the upcoming week. I am home on Tuesday night and will be home through Sunday afternoon - would love to get a couple slobs and some sails.
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Old 11-16-2006, 10:13 AM   #4 (permalink)
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I fished that last week and it was a nice 4-6 swell. If there isn't any gusts over 20 she will be fishable.
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Old 11-16-2006, 10:40 AM   #5 (permalink)
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Well, noaa has 6 to 8 in the gulf steam.
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Old 11-16-2006, 10:51 AM   #6 (permalink)
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Default Re: I think th

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sword Hunter
oh I can tell u for shure its going to be more than 3-4' with a few days of north its going to be nasty better bring the ginger
Hunter,
Sounds like you saw some rough water recently :lol:
Were gonna give it a try again tonight w/ my new noodles.
Thanks for your input.
Later,
Butch
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Old 11-16-2006, 11:13 AM   #7 (permalink)
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Don't let the 3-5ft fool ya. Add the 5-second period and 15+ North winds, and the seas will feel a lot worse.
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Old 11-16-2006, 01:46 PM   #8 (permalink)
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4' 4 SECONDS = 6' WAVE FACE
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Old 11-16-2006, 02:43 PM   #9 (permalink)
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SATURDAY NIGHT
NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS. SEAS 2 FEET OR LESS
NEAR SHORE AND UP TO 6 TO 8 FEET IN THE GULF STREAM. INTRACOASTAL
WATERS A LIGHT CHOP.
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Old 11-16-2006, 04:01 PM   #10 (permalink)
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In my experience, these conditions are doable. Mostly a north sweel with some chop. We can hang if the tournament goes on.

I believe there is a front coming the following week and it is Turkey weekend too...
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Old 11-16-2006, 04:08 PM   #11 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Verado06
In my experience, these conditions are doable.
Maybe for you guys fishing 30 footers. Dont forget about us poor people. :???:
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Old 11-16-2006, 11:06 PM   #12 (permalink)
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Like Drew said tonight, "this is supposed to be a fun event". Running the tournament in rough conditions does 2 things: 1. makes the fishing uncomfortable and dangerous, and 2. culls-out the smaller boats which means less competition and less prize money. I'd rather wait a week or two for good weather.
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Old 11-17-2006, 08:08 AM   #13 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Uncle Buck
Like Drew said tonight, "this is supposed to be a fun event". Running the tournament in rough conditions does 2 things: 1. makes the fishing uncomfortable and dangerous, and 2. culls-out the smaller boats which means less competition and less prize money. I'd rather wait a week or two for good weather.
I have to agree with you on this Buck. In addition, with the extra week I might fish it! :lol:

There are definately alot of guys on here that would love to fish the tournaments, myself included, but just can't get with the bigger boats.

It's not fun in 4-6 in a 20' CC. ](*,)
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Old 11-17-2006, 09:23 AM   #14 (permalink)
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11am Partly Cloudy
71°F
71°F 0% 53°F 53% From NNW 9 mph

12pm Mostly Sunny
72°F
72°F 0% 52°F 49% From NW 10 mph

1pm Mostly Sunny
73°F
73°F 0% 52°F 48% From NW 11 mph

2pm Mostly Sunny
73°F
73°F 0% 52°F 48% From NNW 10 mph

3pm Sunny
73°F
73°F 0% 51°F 46% From NNW 10 mph

Evening Commute See Pollen Hot Spots

4pm Sunny
72°F
72°F 0% 51°F 47% From NNW 10 mph

5pm Sunny
70°F
70°F 0% 50°F 49% From NNW 9 mph

Sunset 5:29 pm Check Local Pollen Forecast

6pm Clear
68°F
68°F 0% 50°F 52% From NNW 8 mph

7pm Clear
66°F
66°F 0% 49°F 54% From NW 7 mph

8pm Clear
65°F
65°F 0% 49°F 56% From NW 6 mph

9pm Clear
64°F
64°F 0% 49°F 58% From NNW 6 mph

< Previous

This is from weather channel on Sat :shock:
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Old 11-17-2006, 09:31 AM   #15 (permalink)
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Any updates on whether tourney is a GO?
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Old 11-17-2006, 09:41 AM   #16 (permalink)
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No call till Sat
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Old 11-17-2006, 10:16 AM   #17 (permalink)
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Update forecast posted... but still not good. :cry:
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Old 11-17-2006, 10:26 AM   #18 (permalink)
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That is why I am headed out tonight might be over a week before I can get out again.
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Old 11-17-2006, 10:56 AM   #19 (permalink)
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THIS AFTERNOON
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS. NEAR SHORE...SEAS
2 FEET OR LESS. IN THE GULF STREAM...SEAS 4 TO 6 FEET SUBSIDING
TO 2 TO 4 FEET IN THE AFTERNOON. INTRACOASTAL WATERS A LIGHT CHOP.

TONIGHT
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS. SEAS 2 FEET OR LESS NEAR
SHORE AND UP TO 4 TO 6 FEET IN THE GULF STREAM. INTRACOASTAL
WATERS A LIGHT CHOP.

SATURDAY
NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS. SEAS 2 FEET OR LESS NEAR
SHORE AND UP TO 6 TO 8 FEET IN THE GULF STREAM. INTRACOASTAL
WATERS A LIGHT CHOP.

SATURDAY NIGHT
NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS. SEAS 2 FEET OR LESS
NEAR SHORE AND UP TO 6 TO 8 FEET IN THE GULF STREAM. INTRACOASTAL
WATERS A LIGHT CHOP.



looking better all the time
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Old 11-17-2006, 11:45 AM   #20 (permalink)
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looks like with this high pressure system might lay her down at night , but u never kno
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